RP’s Diary
Am I the only person to feel that the howls of moral outrage, protests and scathing editorials that greeted the first plan to “solve” the Cyprus banking crisis were somewhat overdone?. I myself joined in the criticism of the proposal to tax all deposits, and recommended the example of Iceland – while pointing out that Cyprus…
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Iceland, not Ireland, is the model for Cyprus
Forget Moscow: get on the plane to Reykjavik!
Ex ECB board member Lorenzo Bini-Smaghi has a piece in tomorrow’s FT where he says Ireland is the model that Cyprus should follow. Really? To be sure, Ireland has done well. But there is a better example – from outside the eurozone. It’s Iceland, not Ireland, that has pioneered the way for small…
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The dollar crash risk
Stop this euphoria!
As Jacob (“Jack”) Lew, the ex Citibank man who has succeeded Tim Geithner as US Treasury Secretary, surveys his inheritance, one thing he will probably not be worrying about is the dollar. Perhaps he should. True, prospects for the US currency have brightened recently. This reflects the new spring in the step of the American…
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The new generation of top central bankers – notably Mark Carney, Janet Yellen (prospectively), Haruhiko Kuroda, and Mario Draghi – need to lift their sights. Official policies to combat continued economic weakness rely on: Central banks using their balance sheets even more aggressively – and riskily – to provide monetary stimulus applying new layers of…
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How to control those central bankers
Stop treating people like donkeys!
Last Tuesday I went along to the Adam Smith Institute to listen to Brendan Brown launch his new book, “The Global Curse of the Federal Reserve”. Brendan picked out three channels through which central banks’ ultra-low interest rate polices can trigger asset price inflation (followed invariably by a crash): Central bank pegging of…
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Bank of Japan enters the money trap
Sad to see Japan joining the currency war
The first thing to say about Haruhiko Kuroda, nominated as the next governor of the Bank of Japan, is that he is a very nice man. Whenever I have met him, he has been not only modest and friendly, but also ready, willing and able to discuss policy issues and ready to modify his opinion…
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Nonsense on bank pay
The solution? Encourage alternatives to banks
Antony Jenkins, who replaced Bob Diamond as chief executive of Barclays Bank during the Libor scandal, says that Barclays should be seen as a bank that is “doing well financially and behaving well”. Now Sir David Walker, the urbane chairman (and G30 alumni) and Jenkins hope that by revealing the numbers earning more than £1…
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The ECB should cap the euro
The current monetary system threatens the open trading order
Governments of the Euro area and the ECB must not let the euro strengthen to the point where it threatens the euro area recovery. It should not rise above $1.40 – it is now at $1.31. When the euro strengthened sharply in 2009, it triggered weakness that led to the euro sovereign debt crisis. But…
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Why Asia did not cause the financial crises
A good GFS can sustain global imbalances safely
New attempts are being made to resuscitate the “savings glut” hypothesis of the origins of the great financial collapse and recession and the eurozone’s agony. This hypothesis is wrong. What matters is not saving but financing. Countries running current account surpluses do not finance those running current account deficits.The deficits are financed…
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Christine Lagarde gets it wrong
This is sad, because if you don't urge system reform, nobody will
“The financial system can work if each of its members follow the right principles for their economy” M Lagarde has had a successful year at the Fund but this statement at the G20 meeting in Moscow yesterday shows the Fund has not learnt the key lesson of the economic disaster. The mistaken…
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