Banking
At the conclusion of a recent star-studded IMF conference, chief economist Olivier Blanchard argued that we may need negative real interest rates for a long time. Here is the passage in full: “Now let me now turn to monetary policy, and touch on three issues: the implications of the liquidity trap, the provision of liquidity,…
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All the chest-beating about the financial crisis distracts attention from the fact that many parties gained from it. Governments – except for a few peripheral countries – obtained cheap financing. The US benefiited from a boost to international demand for the dollar, helping to put the euro in its place, just as a previous wave…
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To mark publication of the “bigger and better” 360-page paperback (at £16.99 from Amazon, with a new 38-page preface) this and the following posts list the book’s main themes, by Chapter, each with an update. Seen from November 2013, how have recent developments changed the analysis and/or policy prescription? Currrent Economic Outlook Although the short…
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The so-called international monetary non-system has four serious weaknesses. They are as follows: first, the absence of incentives to governments to correct global payments imbalances; secondly, the system’s dependence on one national currency, the US dollar, to serve as the major international reserve currency; thirdly, a dysfunctional financial sector and, fourthly, the systemic liability to…
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Under present arrangements, finance too often acts as a malevolent force, rewarding private sectional interests at the expense of the public interest. This is because the globalisation of markets has run ahead of our power to control them. Properly harnessed, global finance could be, again, an enormously powerful force for good. Designing such a harness…
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We need two, inter-related, big reforms – first to the official international monetary system and secondly to banking/financial markets. The international monetary system The first class of reforms needs to start at the beginning – with new reflection on the true nature of money. This is the most fundamental, and yet unavoidable, question raised by…
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Apart from the nomination of Janet Yellen ( a lovely, motherly person) to lead the Fed, what has happened since we departed for our summer/autumn long vacation? As always, the view one takes depends on your perspective. Are you the driver of a car negotiating tricky twists and turns, looking for traffic coming at…
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Central bankers are still trying to rescue their monetary policy models with some additional twists such as forward guidance, but not engaging in the fundamental re-think needed. (If you need better authority than I for this assertion, please do read Bill White in the Dallas Fed series here). Paul Tucker tells us that the new…
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Where have all the safe assets gone?
Shortage may usher in new banking system
While it has already become a cliché to say that there is no such thing as a risk-free asset, policy makers and market participants are only just beginning to recognise what a major shift this is. If we are to get back to anything like the traaditional financial system, renewing the supply of such…
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Part 3: Why reform is failing
Part 3 looks at reform of banking
Why is the effort to reform the global financial system failing? The previous posts in this series reviewed the failure to reform central banking. This final column looks at the fading prospects for a meaningful reform of commercial banking and then examines the ‘scapegoats’ used by governments. We show how the three major players…
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